Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.533455 3.753928 3.990067 4.263410 4.573192 4.915932 5.327462
2025-03-16 3.101414 3.376168 3.684467 4.060614 4.513769 5.051298 5.752146
2025-03-23 2.868226 3.187321 3.560062 4.036939 4.645738 5.420312 6.524478
2025-03-30 2.658994 3.003647 3.419569 3.973358 4.717342 5.727706 7.302833
2025-04-06 2.466850 2.822759 3.263573 3.870109 4.721312 5.947196 8.031305
2025-04-13 2.284075 2.638839 3.086923 3.719305 4.638213 6.027942 8.580153
2025-04-20 2.196876 2.569239 3.051528 3.755303 4.827546 6.566412 10.164146
2025-04-27 2.124774 2.513260 3.028489 3.805031 5.045841 7.213377 12.376966
2025-05-04 2.079102 2.488399 3.044928 3.913583 5.378103 8.175706 16.265565
2025-05-11 2.015605 2.434490 3.015269 3.947599 5.591513 8.992733 21.040534
2025-05-18 1.943527 2.363910 2.955633 3.926862 5.703190 9.641407 26.806335
2025-05-25 1.849219 2.256964 2.835205 3.794950 5.583556 9.698472 30.068384
2025-06-01 1.775229 2.181030 2.764885 3.755328 5.671840 10.436061 42.890630
2025-06-08 1.687326 2.080977 2.652133 3.633600 5.576397 10.649698 55.383388
2025-06-15 1.637781 2.033990 2.617781 3.645297 5.769452 11.897765 132.250639
2025-06-22 1.583175 1.976743 2.563609 3.616264 5.870623 12.968505 1322.187235
2025-06-29 1.524472 1.910623 2.491305 3.547052 5.867311 13.687587 NaN
2025-07-06 1.460636 1.834161 2.398305 3.431228 5.732575 13.785780 NaN
2025-07-13 1.432851 1.810485 2.388901 3.472588 6.000032 16.117104 NaN
2025-07-20 1.408704 1.791001 2.384849 3.523868 6.312206 19.413716 NaN
2025-07-27 1.394643 1.786095 2.404430 3.624738 6.801554 25.758877 NaN
2025-08-03 1.370062 1.763581 2.392559 3.659594 7.113789 32.698914 NaN
2025-08-10 1.339248 1.729913 2.359395 3.645640 7.270089 39.497652 NaN